Ligue 1 · 2026/27
Olympique de Marseille
Projected 6th · 53 pts
The Ninjas' projection
Win title
8%
Top 4
41%
Champions League
Relegation
1%
Exp. points
53
avg finish 6.0
Our title odds call · month by month
▲0Pre 8% → 8%
Pre 8%Aug 8%Sep 8%
2026/27 fixtures · model win probability
Each match, from Marseille's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.
- MD1H
Strasbourg4-0 - MD2A
Monaco0-2 - MD3H
Paris FC53% / 23% / 24% - MD4A
Rennes33% / 23% / 44% - MD5H
PSG37% / 24% / 39% - MD6A
Troyes46% / 24% / 30% - MD7A
Angers42% / 26% / 32% - MD8H
Le Havre55% / 23% / 21% - MD9H
Toulouse52% / 23% / 25% - MD10A
Lens26% / 23% / 51% - MD11H
Le Mans63% / 20% / 17% - MD12A
Auxerre39% / 26% / 36% - MD13H
Nice60% / 21% / 19% - MD14A
Lyon31% / 24% / 44% - MD15A
Brest40% / 24% / 36% - MD16H
Lille46% / 24% / 30% - MD17A
Lorient37% / 24% / 39% - MD18HTroyes63% / 20% / 17%
- MD19APSG22% / 22% / 56%
- MD20HAngers58% / 23% / 20%
- MD21AStrasbourg32% / 24% / 44%
- MD22HRennes50% / 23% / 28%
- MD23ALille30% / 25% / 45%
- MD24HMonaco51% / 22% / 27%
- MD25HLyon47% / 24% / 29%
- MD26ALe Mans46% / 24% / 30%
- MD27HBrest57% / 22% / 22%
- MD28ALe Havre39% / 26% / 35%
- MD29HAuxerre54% / 24% / 22%
- MD30AToulouse35% / 25% / 40%
- MD31ANice44% / 24% / 32%
- MD32HLens41% / 24% / 34%
- MD33AParis FC37% / 24% / 39%
- MD34HLorient53% / 22% / 24%
Win / draw / loss from Marseille's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.
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