National Basketball Association · 2026-27
Updated Jul 24, 2026The Road to the Finals
The Ninjas' 2026-27 projection — a 10,000-season Monte Carlo off last year's net ratings, regressed for the offseason, playing out all 82 games, the play-in, and every playoff series. Updated once the season tips off in October.
How this model works →Projected Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
22% to win it all · 37% to reach the Finals
Eastern Conference
→ Finals oddsWestern Conference
→ Finals oddsTitle contenders
2025-26 final standings
Eastern Conference
#ClubW-LPCTSeed
- 1
Pistons60-22.732Playoffs - 2
Celtics56-26.683Playoffs - 3
Knicks53-29.646Playoffs - 4
Cavaliers52-30.634Playoffs - 5
Hawks46-36.561Playoffs - 6
Raptors46-36.561Playoffs - 7
Magic45-37.549Play-in - 8
76ers45-37.549Play-in - 9
Hornets44-38.537Play-in - 10
Heat43-39.524Play-in - 11
Bucks32-50.390Lottery - 12
Bulls31-51.378Lottery - 13
Nets20-62.244Lottery - 14
Pacers19-63.232Lottery - 15
Wizards17-65.207Lottery
Western Conference
#ClubW-LPCTSeed
- 1Thunder64-18.780Playoffs
- 2
Spurs62-20.756Playoffs - 3
Nuggets54-28.659Playoffs - 4
Lakers53-29.646Playoffs - 5
Rockets52-30.634Playoffs - 6
Timberwolves49-33.598Playoffs - 7
Suns45-37.549Play-in - 8
Clippers42-40.512Play-in - 9
Trail Blazers42-40.512Play-in - 10
Warriors37-45.451Play-in - 11
Mavericks26-56.317Lottery - 12
Pelicans26-56.317Lottery - 13
Grizzlies25-57.305Lottery - 14
Kings22-60.268Lottery - 15
Jazz22-60.268Lottery
Green = playoffs (1–6), amber = play-in (7–10), lottery (11–15). Final 2025-26 records via ESPN; projections regress those results toward the mean for 2026-27.