The Road to October

The projected bracket — if the playoffs started today

American League

seed · rec · WS%

4Yankees78-6011%5Red Sox75-637%

3Astros70-682%6Guardians69-682%

1Rays82-559%2White Sox72-658%

Wild Card round → byes await in the Division Series

World Series

🏆YankeesAL · 11%vsBrewersNL · 18%Our pick

Our projected matchup. We favor the Brewers to win it all, at 18%.

National League

seed · rec · WS%

4Cubs78-6010%5Phillies78-602%

3Braves82-5610%6Padres73-651%

1Brewers85-5318%2Dodgers82-5517%

Wild Card round → byes await in the Division Series

Our call, month by month

3 checkpoints on the ledger

Where our board stood each month, exactly as we published it. Every column is dated, and nothing is recalculated with what we know now.

July

Jul 11

1. Dodgers27%
2. Brewers21%
3. Yankees13%
4. Braves9%
5. Rays7%

August

Aug 1

1. Dodgers24%
2. Brewers19%
3. Yankees12%
4. Braves9%
5. White Sox8%

September

Sep 1

1. Brewers18%
2. Dodgers17%
3. Yankees11%
4. Cubs10%
5. Braves10%

Now

live board

1. Brewers18%
2. Dodgers17%
3. Yankees11%
4. Cubs10%
5. Braves10%

Think you can beat the Ninjas?

Fill your own playoff field, crown your World Series champ, and track your call all season.

Build your bracket →

World Series odds

18%Brewers17%Dodgers11%Yankees10%Cubs10%Braves9%Rays

Odds from a 10,000-season Monte Carlo: each club's remaining games are simulated from its Pythagorean strength (run differential, regressed toward the mean), then the postseason bracket is played out. The projected field is the single most-likely bracket, not a certainty. Standings via the MLB Stats API, refreshed daily.