AL West · 2026
Houston Astros
46-50 · 3rd in AL West · 3 GB · L2
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
17%
Win division
10%
top seed 0%
Win World Series
0%
Proj wins
77
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
-52
435 RS / 487 RA
Pythag record
43-53
45% deserved
Luck
+2.9
W vs Pythag
Proj wins
78
of 162
At 46-50 with a -52 run differential, the Astros are on pace for about 78 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're 2.9 wins luckier than its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.
The buzz
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