AL West · 2026
Athletics
41-53 · 4th in AL West · 7 GB · L7
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
1%
Win division
0%
top seed 0%
Win World Series
0%
Proj wins
71
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
-97
421 RS / 518 RA
Pythag record
38-56
41% deserved
Luck
+2.8
W vs Pythag
Proj wins
71
of 162
At 41-53 with a -97 run differential, the Athletics are on pace for about 71 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're 2.8 wins luckier than its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.
The buzz
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