NL East · 2026
Atlanta Braves
54-39 · 1st in NL East · division lead · L1
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
99%
Win division
84%
top seed 2%
Win World Series
8%
Proj wins
94
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
+94
455 RS / 361 RA
Pythag record
56-37
60% deserved
Luck
-2.2
W vs Pythag
Proj wins
94
of 162
At 54-39 with a +94 run differential, the Braves are on pace for about 94 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're 2.2 wins unluckier than its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.
The buzz
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