NL Central · 2026
Chicago Cubs
52-42 · 2nd in NL Central · 7.5 GB · L2
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
74%
Win division
1%
top seed 0%
Win World Series
3%
Proj wins
87
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
+46
471 RS / 425 RA
Pythag record
51-43
55% deserved
Luck
+0.6
W vs Pythag
Proj wins
90
of 162
At 52-42 with a +46 run differential, the Cubs are on pace for about 90 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're in line with its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.
The buzz
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