NL West · 2026
Arizona Diamondbacks
47-47 · 2nd in NL West · 13.5 GB · W2
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
15%
Win division
0%
top seed 0%
Win World Series
0%
Proj wins
80
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
-22
402 RS / 424 RA
Pythag record
45-49
48% deserved
Luck
+2.3
W vs Pythag
Proj wins
81
of 162
At 47-47 with a -22 run differential, the D-backs are on pace for about 81 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're 2.3 wins luckier than its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.
The buzz
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