NL West · 2026
61-34 · 1st in NL West · division lead · L1
Make playoffs
100%
Win division
100%
top seed 60%
Win World Series
27%
Proj wins
103
of 162
Run diff
+158
501 RS / 343 RA
Pythag record
63-32
67% deserved
Luck
-2.3
W vs Pythag
Proj wins
104
of 162
At 61-34 with a +158 run differential, the Dodgers are on pace for about 104 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're 2.3 wins unluckier than its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.
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