NL West · 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers

61-34 · 1st in NL West · division lead · L1

The Ninjas' October odds

Make playoffs

100%

Win division

100%

top seed 60%

Win World Series

27%

Proj wins

103

of 162

The Ninjas' read

Run diff

+158

501 RS / 343 RA

Pythag record

63-32

67% deserved

Luck

-2.3

W vs Pythag

Proj wins

104

of 162

At 61-34 with a +158 run differential, the Dodgers are on pace for about 104 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're 2.3 wins unluckier than its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.

The buzz

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