AL Central · 2026
Cleveland Guardians
49-46 · 2nd in AL Central · division lead · W2
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
66%
Win division
34%
top seed 2%
Win World Series
2%
Proj wins
83
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
-8
376 RS / 384 RA
Pythag record
47-48
49% deserved
Luck
+2.4
W vs Pythag
Proj wins
84
of 162
At 49-46 with a -8 run differential, the Guardians are on pace for about 84 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're 2.4 wins luckier than its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.
The buzz
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