AL West · 2026
Seattle Mariners
47-48 · 2nd in AL West · 1.5 GB · L4
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
58%
Win division
44%
top seed 1%
Win World Series
3%
Proj wins
82
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
+15
383 RS / 368 RA
Pythag record
49-46
52% deserved
Luck
-2.2
W vs Pythag
Proj wins
80
of 162
At 47-48 with a +15 run differential, the Mariners are on pace for about 80 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're 2.2 wins unluckier than its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.
The buzz
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