NL East · 2026
Miami Marlins
52-43 · 3rd in NL East · 3 GB · L1
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
73%
Win division
11%
top seed 0%
Win World Series
2%
Proj wins
87
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
+30
436 RS / 406 RA
Pythag record
51-44
53% deserved
Luck
+1.4
W vs Pythag
Proj wins
89
of 162
At 52-43 with a +30 run differential, the Marlins are on pace for about 89 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're in line with its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.
The buzz
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