NL East · 2026
New York Mets
40-55 · 5th in NL East · 15 GB · L1
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
0%
Win division
0%
top seed 0%
Win World Series
0%
Proj wins
69
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
-60
396 RS / 456 RA
Pythag record
41-54
44% deserved
Luck
-1.4
W vs Pythag
Proj wins
68
of 162
At 40-55 with a -60 run differential, the Mets are on pace for about 68 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're in line with its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.
The buzz
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