NL East · 2026
Washington Nationals
48-47 · 4th in NL East · 7 GB · L1
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
29%
Win division
2%
top seed 0%
Win World Series
0%
Proj wins
82
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
+11
511 RS / 500 RA
Pythag record
48-47
51% deserved
Luck
-0.4
W vs Pythag
Proj wins
82
of 162
At 48-47 with a +11 run differential, the Nationals are on pace for about 82 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're in line with its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.
The buzz
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