AL East · 2026
Baltimore Orioles
44-51 · 5th in AL East · 12.5 GB · W2
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
6%
Win division
0%
top seed 0%
Win World Series
0%
Proj wins
75
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
-30
433 RS / 463 RA
Pythag record
45-50
47% deserved
Luck
-0.6
W vs Pythag
Proj wins
75
of 162
At 44-51 with a -30 run differential, the Orioles are on pace for about 75 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're in line with its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.
The buzz
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