NL East · 2026
Philadelphia Phillies
52-43 · 2nd in NL East · 3 GB · L1
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
43%
Win division
3%
top seed 0%
Win World Series
1%
Proj wins
84
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
-17
415 RS / 432 RA
Pythag record
46-49
48% deserved
Luck
+6.2
W vs Pythag
Proj wins
89
of 162
At 52-43 with a -17 run differential, the Phillies are on pace for about 89 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're 6.2 wins luckier than its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.
The buzz
Loading the latest headlines…