NL Central · 2026
Pittsburgh Pirates
47-47 · 4th in NL Central · 12.5 GB · L2
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
22%
Win division
0%
top seed 0%
Win World Series
1%
Proj wins
81
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
+33
492 RS / 459 RA
Pythag record
50-44
53% deserved
Luck
-3.0
W vs Pythag
Proj wins
81
of 162
At 47-47 with a +33 run differential, the Pirates are on pace for about 81 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're 3.0 wins unluckier than its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.
The buzz
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