NL West · 2026
Colorado Rockies
52-86 · 5th in NL West · 30.5 GB · L5
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
<1%
Win division
<1%
top seed <1%
Win World Series
<1%
Proj wins
62
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
-143
645 RS / 788 RA
Pythag record
56-82
41% deserved
Luck
-4.5
W vs Pythag
On pace
61
at current W-L rate
At 52-86 with a -143 run differential, the Rockies are on pace for about 61 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're 4.5 wins unluckier than its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out. Because the model trusts those runs over the raw record, it projects them to finish around 62 wins — the number in the October odds above.
The buzz
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