AL Central · 2026
Kansas City Royals
38-57 · 5th in AL Central · 11 GB · L3
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
0%
Win division
0%
top seed 0%
Win World Series
0%
Proj wins
68
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
-77
408 RS / 485 RA
Pythag record
40-55
42% deserved
Luck
-2.0
W vs Pythag
Proj wins
65
of 162
At 38-57 with a -77 run differential, the Royals are on pace for about 65 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're 2.0 wins unluckier than its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.
The buzz
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