AL Central · 2026
Detroit Tigers
63-74 · 4th in AL Central · 9 GB · L2
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
2%
Win division
<1%
top seed <1%
Win World Series
<1%
Proj wins
77
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
+55
597 RS / 542 RA
Pythag record
75-62
54% deserved
Luck
-11.5
W vs Pythag
On pace
75
at current W-L rate
At 63-74 with a +55 run differential, the Tigers are on pace for about 75 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're 11.5 wins unluckier than its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out. Because the model trusts those runs over the raw record, it projects them to finish around 77 wins — the number in the October odds above.
The buzz
Loading the latest headlines…