AL Central · 2026
Detroit Tigers
44-50 · 4th in AL Central · 4.5 GB · W6
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
37%
Win division
13%
top seed 0%
Win World Series
2%
Proj wins
80
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
+31
405 RS / 374 RA
Pythag record
50-44
54% deserved
Luck
-6.4
W vs Pythag
Proj wins
76
of 162
At 44-50 with a +31 run differential, the Tigers are on pace for about 76 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're 6.4 wins unluckier than its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.
The buzz
Loading the latest headlines…