AL Central · 2026
Minnesota Twins
46-49 · 3rd in AL Central · 3 GB · L2
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
24%
Win division
7%
top seed 0%
Win World Series
1%
Proj wins
79
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
-18
462 RS / 480 RA
Pythag record
46-49
48% deserved
Luck
+0.2
W vs Pythag
Proj wins
78
of 162
At 46-49 with a -18 run differential, the Twins are on pace for about 78 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're in line with its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.
The buzz
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