AL Central · 2026
72-65 · 1st in AL Central · division lead · L2
Make playoffs
93%
Win division
83%
top seed <1%
Win World Series
8%
Proj wins
85
of 162
Run diff
+41
655 RS / 614 RA
Pythag record
73-64
53% deserved
Luck
-0.5
W vs Pythag
On pace
85
at current W-L rate
At 72-65 with a +41 run differential, the White Sox are on pace for about 85 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're in line with its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out. Because the model trusts those runs over the raw record, it projects them to finish around 85 wins — the number in the October odds above.
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