AL Central · 2026

Chicago White Sox

72-65 · 1st in AL Central · division lead · L2

The Ninjas' October odds

Make playoffs

93%

Win division

83%

top seed <1%

Win World Series

8%

Proj wins

85

of 162

The Ninjas' read

Run diff

+41

655 RS / 614 RA

Pythag record

73-64

53% deserved

Luck

-0.5

W vs Pythag

On pace

85

at current W-L rate

At 72-65 with a +41 run differential, the White Sox are on pace for about 85 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're in line with its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out. Because the model trusts those runs over the raw record, it projects them to finish around 85 wins — the number in the October odds above.

The buzz

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