AL East · 2026
New York Yankees
52-42 · 2nd in AL East · 4 GB · W2
The Ninjas' October odds
Make playoffs
99%
Win division
41%
top seed 38%
Win World Series
12%
Proj wins
91
of 162
The Ninjas' read
Run diff
+87
453 RS / 366 RA
Pythag record
56-38
60% deserved
Luck
-4.1
W vs Pythag
Proj wins
90
of 162
At 52-42 with a +87 run differential, the Yankees are on pace for about 90 wins. By Pythagorean expectation — the record their run scoring and prevention actually justify — they're 4.1 wins unluckier than its runs. Run differential is the single best predictor of future record, so it's the number to watch as the season plays out.
The buzz
Loading the latest headlines…