FC Bayern München

The Ninjas' projection

2026/27 fixtures · model win probability

Each match, from Bayern's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.

• MD1HStuttgart5-1
• MD2ASchalke66% / 17% / 16%
• MD3AElversberg66% / 17% / 16%
• MD4HUnion Berlin75% / 14% / 11%
• MD5AAugsburg62% / 18% / 19%
• MD6HRB Leipzig66% / 17% / 17%
• MD7AFreiburg59% / 19% / 22%
• MD8HDortmund59% / 20% / 22%
• MD9AMainz59% / 19% / 21%
• MD10H1. FC Köln76% / 13% / 11%
• MD11AHamburg61% / 19% / 20%
• MD12HSC Paderborn79% / 12% / 9%
• MD13AHoffenheim53% / 20% / 27%
• MD14HBremen77% / 13% / 10%
• MD15AGladbach60% / 19% / 21%
• MD16HLeverkusen65% / 17% / 18%
• MD17AFrankfurt59% / 18% / 22%
• MD18AStuttgart50% / 20% / 30%
• MD19HSchalke79% / 12% / 9%
• MD20HElversberg79% / 12% / 9%
• MD21AUnion Berlin61% / 19% / 20%
• MD22HAugsburg76% / 14% / 11%
• MD23ARB Leipzig51% / 21% / 29%
• MD24HFreiburg73% / 15% / 12%
• MD25ADortmund44% / 22% / 34%
• MD26HMainz73% / 15% / 12%
• MD27A1. FC Köln62% / 18% / 20%
• MD28HHamburg74% / 15% / 11%
• MD29ASC Paderborn66% / 17% / 16%
• MD30HHoffenheim68% / 16% / 16%
• MD31ABremen64% / 18% / 18%
• MD32HGladbach74% / 15% / 12%
• MD33ALeverkusen50% / 21% / 29%
• MD34HFrankfurt74% / 14% / 12%

Win / draw / loss from Bayern's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.

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