Borussia Dortmund

The Ninjas' projection

2026/27 fixtures · model win probability

Each match, from Dortmund's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.

• MD1HHamburg2-0
• MD2AHoffenheim39% / 24% / 37%
• MD3HSC Paderborn65% / 19% / 16%
• MD4AStuttgart37% / 23% / 40%
• MD5HBremen63% / 20% / 17%
• MD6AUnion Berlin47% / 24% / 29%
• MD7HFrankfurt59% / 20% / 21%
• MD8ABayern22% / 20% / 59%
• MD9HElversberg65% / 19% / 16%
• MD10AGladbach46% / 24% / 30%
• MD11HLeverkusen50% / 23% / 27%
• MD12ASchalke52% / 23% / 25%
• MD13HAugsburg62% / 20% / 18%
• MD14ARB Leipzig37% / 24% / 39%
• MD15HMainz59% / 21% / 20%
• MD16A1. FC Köln47% / 23% / 29%
• MD17HFreiburg59% / 21% / 20%
• MD18AHamburg47% / 24% / 29%
• MD19HHoffenheim53% / 22% / 25%
• MD20ASC Paderborn52% / 23% / 25%
• MD21HStuttgart51% / 22% / 27%
• MD22ABremen50% / 24% / 27%
• MD23HUnion Berlin61% / 21% / 19%
• MD24AFrankfurt45% / 23% / 33%
• MD25HBayern34% / 22% / 44%
• MD26AElversberg52% / 23% / 25%
• MD27HGladbach59% / 21% / 19%
• MD28ALeverkusen37% / 24% / 40%
• MD29HSchalke65% / 19% / 16%
• MD30AAugsburg48% / 23% / 29%
• MD31HRB Leipzig51% / 23% / 27%
• MD32AMainz45% / 24% / 31%
• MD33H1. FC Köln61% / 20% / 19%
• MD34AFreiburg45% / 24% / 32%

Win / draw / loss from Dortmund's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.

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