Upset watch · Week 15

Updated Aug 30, 2026

Week 15 upset watch

The rule, not a hunch: the market favors one side by at least 3.5 points, and our model still gives the underdog at least 35% to win. Every game that clears the bar is listed — we don't pick and choose, and we grade them here afterwards.

No Week 15 game clears the bar — every clear market favorite this week is one our model also backs.