The Ninjas' call on the 2026 championship — a 10,000-run Monte Carlo of the 11 remaining races, from each driver's season pace plus race-day chaos and retirements. Updated after every Grand Prix.
or go the distance in F1 Survivor → — pick a driver in the points every race, no repeats, one miss and you're out.
Drivers' championship
Andrea Kimi Antonelli98%
Mercedes
242 pts now · 407 projected · 100% top 3
Lewis Hamilton1%
Ferrari
183 pts now · 303 projected · 82% top 3
George Russell1%
Mercedes
183 pts now · 303 projected · 82% top 3
Constructors' championship
Mercedes425 pts99%
Ferrari338 pts1%
McLaren263 pts—
Red Bull186 pts—
RB F1 Team66 pts—
Alpine F1 Team63 pts—
Drivers' standings
#DriverPtsProjTitle
1Andrea Kimi AntonelliMercedes24240798%
2George RussellMercedes1833031%
3Lewis HamiltonFerrari1833031%
4Lando NorrisMcLaren159261<1%
5Charles LeclercFerrari155254<1%
6Max VerstappenRed Bull112181—
7Oscar PiastriMcLaren104168—
8Isack HadjarRed Bull68112—
9Liam LawsonRed Bull4984—
10Pierre GaslyAlpine F1 Team4477—
11Arvid LindbladRB F1 Team2348—
12Franco ColapintoAlpine F1 Team1942—
13Oliver BearmanHaas F1 Team1842—
14Gabriel BortoletoAudi1031—
15Nico HülkenbergAudi625—
16Carlos SainzWilliams626—
17Alexander AlbonWilliams524—
18Esteban OconHaas F1 Team322—
19Fernando AlonsoAston Martin322—
20Yuki TsunodaRB F1 Team018—
21Lance StrollAston Martin018—
22Valtteri BottasCadillac F1 Team018—
23Sergio PérezCadillac F1 Team018—
Next up · Italian Grand Prix
R13 · Sep 6
Italy
R14 · Sep 13
Spain
R15 · Sep 26
Azerbaijan
R16 · Oct 4
Malaysia
R17 · Oct 11
Singapore
R18 · Oct 25
USA
Pace is each driver's season points-per-race; every remaining Grand Prix is simulated with race-day variance and a retirement chance, then the points are tallied 10,000 times. A v1 model — see the methodology for what it does and doesn't capture. Standings via jolpica-f1.