Formula 1 · 2026 · Round 12/23

Updated Aug 31, 2026

The Title Race

The Ninjas' call on the 2026 championship — a 10,000-run Monte Carlo of the 11 remaining races, from each driver's season pace plus race-day chaos and retirements. Updated after every Grand Prix.

How this model works →
Think you can call it?Pick the podium for the Italian Grand Prix — see where the fans and the Ninjas land.Call the podium →

or go the distance in F1 Survivor → — pick a driver in the points every race, no repeats, one miss and you're out.

Drivers' championship

Andrea Kimi Antonelli98%

Mercedes

242 pts now · 407 projected · 100% top 3

Lewis Hamilton1%

Ferrari

183 pts now · 303 projected · 82% top 3

George Russell1%

Mercedes

183 pts now · 303 projected · 82% top 3

Constructors' championship

Mercedes425 pts99%
Ferrari338 pts1%
McLaren263 pts
Red Bull186 pts
RB F1 Team66 pts
Alpine F1 Team63 pts

Drivers' standings

#DriverPtsProjTitle
  • 1Andrea Kimi Antonelli24240798%
  • 2George Russell1833031%
  • 3Lewis Hamilton1833031%
  • 4Lando Norris159261<1%
  • 5Charles Leclerc155254<1%
  • 6Max Verstappen112181
  • 7Oscar Piastri104168
  • 8Isack Hadjar68112
  • 9Liam Lawson4984
  • 10Pierre Gasly4477
  • 11Arvid Lindblad2348
  • 12Franco Colapinto1942
  • 13Oliver Bearman1842
  • 14Gabriel Bortoleto1031
  • 15Nico Hülkenberg625
  • 16Carlos Sainz626
  • 17Alexander Albon524
  • 18Esteban Ocon322
  • 19Fernando Alonso322
  • 20Yuki Tsunoda018
  • 21Lance Stroll018
  • 22Valtteri Bottas018
  • 23Sergio Pérez018

Next up · Italian Grand Prix

R13 · Sep 6

Italy

R14 · Sep 13

Spain

R15 · Sep 26

Azerbaijan

R16 · Oct 4

Malaysia

R17 · Oct 11

Singapore

R18 · Oct 25

USA

Pace is each driver's season points-per-race; every remaining Grand Prix is simulated with race-day variance and a retirement chance, then the points are tallied 10,000 times. A v1 model — see the methodology for what it does and doesn't capture. Standings via jolpica-f1.