Week 5 · College Football

Ohio State vs Iowa prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Ohio State a 79% chance to beat Iowa in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#2 Big Ten Conference

Ohio State

52% to make the 12

@

#22 Big Ten Conference

Iowa

17% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadOhio State −12.5Model
Projected scoreOhio State 32 — Iowa 20

Ohio State should handle it: 12.5-point edge, 79% to win.

Chaos meter42 · LEAN
42/ 100
CalmMayhem

Ohio State

79%

to win

Iowa

21%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Ohio State
vs
Iowa
#7Offense · EPA/play#80
#5Defense · EPA/play#18
#124Explosiveness#134
#1Success rate#46
31%Returning production49%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

67 meetings all-time

Ohio State leads 49–15–3

Last met 2024 · Ohio State 35–7 Iowa— Ohio State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Ohio State is hearing

What Iowa is hearing

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