Week 8 · College Football

North Texas vs Navy prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Navy a 51% chance to beat North Texas in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#37 American Athletic Conference

North Texas

4% to make the 12

@

#56 American Athletic Conference

Navy

3% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadNavy −0.5Model
Projected scoreNorth Texas 26Navy 26

A coin flip. The model nudges Navy by a field goal — 51% to win.

Chaos meter97 · TOSS-UP
97/ 100
CalmMayhem

North Texas

49%

to win

Navy

51%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
North Texas
vs
Navy
#2Offense · EPA/play#15
#74Defense · EPA/play#110
#34Explosiveness#66
#2Success rate#9
56%Returning production97%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

3 meetings all-time

Navy leads 2–1

Last met 2025 · North Texas 3117 NavyNorth Texas won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What North Texas is hearing

What Navy is hearing

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