Week 5 · College Football

UTSA vs Rice prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives UTSA a 73% chance to beat Rice in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#49 American Athletic Conference

UTSA

3% to make the 12

@

#115 American Athletic Conference

Rice

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadUTSA −9.5Model
Projected scoreUTSA 31 — Rice 21

UTSA is the pick by 9.5, but it's live — 73% on the model.

Chaos meter54 · LIVE
54/ 100
CalmMayhem

UTSA

73%

to win

Rice

27%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
UTSA
vs
Rice
#43Offense · EPA/play#126
#58Defense · EPA/play#120
#30Explosiveness#90
#48Success rate#128
96%Returning production75%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

13 meetings all-time

UTSA leads 9–4

Last met 2025 · UTSA 61–13 Rice— UTSA won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What UTSA is hearing

What Rice is hearing

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