Week 7 · College Football
Navy vs UTSA prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives UTSA a 59% chance to beat Navy in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#56 American Athletic Conference
Navy
3% to make the 12
@
#49 American Athletic Conference
UTSA
3% to make the 12
The model's read
SpreadUTSA −3.5Model
Projected scoreNavy 24 — UTSA 28
A coin flip. The model nudges UTSA by a field goal — 59% to win.
Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem
Navy
41%
to win
UTSA
59%
to win
Who wins?
Be the firstTap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.
Think you know better?
Pick this game against the spread
Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksNavyUTSA#15Offense · EPA/play#43
#110Defense · EPA/play#58
#66Explosiveness#30
#9Success rate#48
97%Returning production96%
National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Navy is hearing
What UTSA is hearing
Get The Drop
One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.
No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.