Mid-American Conference · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026The TailgateNinjas model projects E Michigan to finish 4-6 in 2026, the most likely of any record at 28%, averaging 4.0 wins across 10 rated games. Updated August 29, 2026.
Projected record
4-6
28% likely
Expected wins
4.0
10 rated games
Vegas win total
5.5
market
Model vs market
-1.5
we're lower
Win probability from our model. Non-FBS opponents aren't rated, so those games show no number.
The chance of each final record, from the per-game probabilities above. Records under 1% are hidden.
Hardest game
at Wisconsin
Week 3 · 10% to win
Easiest game
vs Kent State
Week 13 · 74% to win
Closest to a coin flip — where the season actually gets decided.