Southeastern Conference · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026The TailgateNinjas model projects Georgia to finish 9-2 in 2026, the most likely of any record at 28%, averaging 8.4 wins across 11 rated games. Updated August 29, 2026.
Projected record
9-2
28% likely
Expected wins
8.4
11 rated games
Vegas win total
9.5
market
Model vs market
-1.1
we're lower
Win probability from our model. Non-FBS opponents aren't rated, so those games show no number.
The chance of each final record, from the per-game probabilities above. Records under 1% are hidden.
Hardest game
at Alabama
Week 6 · 52% to win
Easiest game
vs Western Kentucky
Week 2 · 96% to win
Closest to a coin flip — where the season actually gets decided.