Big Ten Conference · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026The TailgateNinjas model projects UCLA to finish 6-6 in 2026, the most likely of any record at 26%, averaging 6.3 wins across 12 rated games. Updated August 29, 2026.
Projected record
6-6
26% likely
Expected wins
6.3
12 rated games
Vegas win total
6.5
market
Model vs market
-0.2
we're lower
Win probability from our model. Non-FBS opponents aren't rated, so those games show no number.
The chance of each final record, from the per-game probabilities above. Records under 1% are hidden.
Hardest game
at Oregon
Week 6 · 6% to win
Easiest game
vs Nevada
Week 9 · 94% to win
Closest to a coin flip — where the season actually gets decided.