Field and seeds from the latest published run (same TeamOddsSnapshot as the homepage; optional ?run= to pin a run). At-large ordering follows public combined rank (65% poll consensus / 35% model forecast) — top 16 nationally in the snapshot. The graphic shows first-round games only.
Model 2026.9.1·Inputs 2026-preseason-v1·Seed 217784358·Draws 10,000
No projected quarterfinals or later rounds — opening matchups only. Methodology
16-team model
Eight first-round games (1v16…8v9) from combined rank + G5 access, in a wide two-column layout matching the 24-team view