Field and seeds from the latest published run (same TeamOddsSnapshot as the homepage; optional ?run= to pin a run). At-large slots and the 23+1 G5 access rule use public combined rank (65% poll consensus / 35% model forecast), with the 23+1 G5 access rule applied on that stack. Seeds 1–8 get first-round byes. Later rounds use chalk for layout, not a second Monte Carlo.
Model 2026.9.1·Inputs 2026-preseason-v1·Seed 217784358·Draws 10,000
Later rounds show placeholders with a chalk national champion for layout only — not a second Monte Carlo. Methodology
24-team model
Byes and first-round games from combined rank + 23+1 G5 access (seeds 1–8 on bye; 9v24 through 16v17)