← Week 13 predictions

Playoff impact · Week 13

Updated Aug 30, 2026

The games that actually matter

8 of the 63 college football games in Week 13 would change who makes our projected 12-team playoff field, led by Texas at Texas A&M. Updated August 29, 2026.

Measured, not asserted: we build the projected field twice for every game — once with each side winning — and count the spots that change. That's why a game between two teams who are both getting in anyway can rank below one that swings a conference title.

Changes who gets in

  • Texas at Texas A&M2 spots swing · 43% home

    If Texas A&M wins
    Texas A&M make the field

    If Texas wins
    Ole Miss make the field

  • Michigan at Ohio State2 spots swing · 75% home

    If Ohio State wins
    Ole Miss make the field

    If Michigan wins
    Michigan make the field

  • Oklahoma at Missouri2 spots swing · 44% home

    If Missouri wins
    Michigan make the field

    If Oklahoma wins
    Oklahoma make the field

  • USC at UCLA2 spots swing · 28% home

    If UCLA wins
    Ole Miss make the field

    If USC wins
    USC make the field

  • TCU at Texas Tech2 spots swing · 86% home

    If Texas Tech wins
    Texas Tech make the field

    If TCU wins
    BYU make the field

  • Tulane at South Florida2 spots swing · 58% home

    If South Florida wins
    Boise State make the field

    If Tulane wins
    Tulane make the field

  • Mississippi St at Ole Miss2 spots swing · 83% home

    If Ole Miss wins
    Ole Miss make the field

    If Mississippi St wins
    Michigan make the field

  • Cincinnati at BYU2 spots swing · 82% home

    If BYU wins
    BYU make the field

    If Cincinnati wins
    Texas Tech make the field

Moves the seeding

Same twelve teams either way, but the bracket order changes.