Week 13 · College Football

TCU vs Texas Tech prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Texas Tech a 86% chance to beat TCU in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#47 Big 12 Conference

TCU

8% to make the 12

@

#11 Big 12 Conference

Texas Tech

51% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadTexas Tech −16.5Vegas
Projected scoreTCU 18 — Texas Tech 34

Texas Tech should handle it: 16.5-point edge, 86% to win.

Chaos meter28 · LEAN
28/ 100
CalmMayhem

TCU

14%

to win

Texas Tech

86%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
TCU
vs
Texas Tech
#48Offense · EPA/play#23
#59Defense · EPA/play#2
#50Explosiveness#31
#44Success rate#50
61%Returning production59%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

67 meetings all-time

Texas Tech leads 33–31–3

Last met 2024 · TCU 35–34 Texas Tech— TCU won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What TCU is hearing

What Texas Tech is hearing

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