Playoff machine · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026With no games picked, our model projects Ohio State as the No. 1 seed in the 2026 College Football Playoff, with Ole Miss first out. Updated August 29, 2026.
Pick winners below and the projected 12-team field updates. Your scenario lives in the URL, so you can share it or come back to it.
First four out: Ole Miss · Oklahoma · LSU · Alabama
The 40 upcoming games most likely to shape the field — closest games first, contenders only. Percentages are our model's win probability. Tap a team to make them win; tap again to undo.
Your picks decide two things: who wins each conference (and so takes one of the five auto-bids), and how teams move in the selection order — a team that wins games it was expected to lose climbs, and a favourite that loses drops. With no picks, this is exactly the field on our projected bracket. It is not a full re-run of the season simulation, so treat it as the committee's shape under your scenario rather than a fresh set of odds.