Athletic Club

The Ninjas' projection

2026/27 fixtures · model win probability

Each match, from Athletic Bilbao's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.

• MD2HSevilla FC1-3
• MD1ABarça0-2
• MD3ACelta Vigo2-0
• MD4HAtlético Madrid38% / 26% / 36%
• MD5HElche46% / 25% / 29%
• MD6ALevante27% / 25% / 48%
• MD7HAlavés47% / 26% / 28%
• MD8ARayo Vallecano24% / 26% / 50%
• MD9AValencia26% / 25% / 49%
• MD10HGetafe43% / 28% / 29%
• MD11HReal Sociedad44% / 25% / 31%
• MD12AOsasuna25% / 25% / 50%
• MD13HEspanyol46% / 26% / 28%
• MD14AMálaga29% / 26% / 45%
• MD15HReal Madrid31% / 25% / 44%
• MD16ADeportivo29% / 26% / 45%
• MD17HReal Betis40% / 26% / 34%
• MD18ARacing Santander29% / 26% / 45%
• MD19HVillarreal36% / 25% / 39%
• MD20AGetafe25% / 28% / 48%
• MD21HLevante48% / 25% / 28%
• MD22ASevilla FC27% / 25% / 48%
• MD23HOsasuna44% / 26% / 29%
• MD24AReal Madrid14% / 20% / 66%
• MD25HCelta Vigo41% / 26% / 33%
• MD26HBarça28% / 24% / 49%
• MD27AAlavés26% / 25% / 48%
• MD28HValencia46% / 26% / 29%
• MD29AEspanyol26% / 25% / 48%
• MD30HRacing Santander49% / 25% / 25%
• MD31AVillarreal18% / 21% / 61%
• MD32AReal Betis21% / 23% / 56%
• MD33HDeportivo49% / 25% / 25%
• MD34AReal Sociedad24% / 23% / 53%
• MD35HMálaga49% / 25% / 25%
• MD36AElche25% / 25% / 50%
• MD37AAtlético Madrid19% / 22% / 58%
• MD38HRayo Vallecano43% / 27% / 30%

Win / draw / loss from Athletic Bilbao's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.

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