Real Madrid CF

The Ninjas' projection

2026/27 fixtures · model win probability

Each match, from Real Madrid's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.

• MD2AEspanyol2-1
• MD1HReal Sociedad4-1
• MD3HMálaga4-0
• MD4AReal Betis36% / 25% / 39%
• MD5HRayo Vallecano61% / 22% / 17%
• MD6AElche42% / 25% / 33%
• MD7AAtlético Madrid34% / 25% / 41%
• MD8HVillarreal55% / 23% / 23%
• MD9HSevilla FC66% / 19% / 15%
• MD10ABarça24% / 22% / 54%
• MD11ARacing Santander46% / 26% / 29%
• MD12AValencia42% / 26% / 33%
• MD13HCelta Vigo60% / 22% / 19%
• MD14HAlavés65% / 20% / 15%
• MD15AAthletic Bilbao44% / 25% / 31%
• MD16HOsasuna62% / 21% / 16%
• MD17ADeportivo46% / 26% / 29%
• MD18HGetafe60% / 24% / 16%
• MD19HLevante66% / 19% / 15%
• MD20AMálaga46% / 26% / 29%
• MD21HReal Betis58% / 22% / 20%
• MD22ARayo Vallecano39% / 27% / 34%
• MD23AReal Sociedad40% / 24% / 35%
• MD24HAthletic Bilbao66% / 20% / 14%
• MD25ASevilla FC43% / 25% / 31%
• MD26HValencia64% / 20% / 16%
• MD27AVillarreal32% / 24% / 44%
• MD28HEspanyol65% / 20% / 15%
• MD29ACelta Vigo37% / 26% / 37%
• MD30HAtlético Madrid56% / 23% / 21%
• MD31AOsasuna41% / 26% / 33%
• MD32AGetafe39% / 28% / 32%
• MD33HElche64% / 20% / 16%
• MD34ALevante44% / 25% / 31%
• MD35HBarça45% / 24% / 31%
• MD36HRacing Santander67% / 19% / 13%
• MD37AAlavés43% / 26% / 32%
• MD38HDeportivo67% / 19% / 13%

Win / draw / loss from Real Madrid's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.

The buzz

Loading the latest headlines…