FC Barcelona

The Ninjas' projection

2026/27 fixtures · model win probability

Each match, from Barça's side — the model's odds they win / draw / lose. They add up to 100%.

• MD2AElche5-0
• MD1HAthletic Bilbao2-0
• MD3HRayo Vallecano5-2
• MD4AValencia47% / 24% / 29%
• MD5ALevante48% / 23% / 28%
• MD6HRacing Santander72% / 17% / 11%
• MD7ASevilla FC48% / 24% / 28%
• MD8HGetafe65% / 21% / 14%
• MD9AReal Betis40% / 24% / 35%
• MD10HReal Madrid54% / 22% / 24%
• MD11HAlavés70% / 17% / 12%
• MD12AAtlético Madrid38% / 24% / 38%
• MD13HVillarreal60% / 20% / 20%
• MD14ADeportivo50% / 24% / 26%
• MD15HCelta Vigo65% / 19% / 16%
• MD16AMálaga50% / 24% / 26%
• MD17HReal Sociedad69% / 17% / 14%
• MD18AEspanyol47% / 24% / 28%
• MD19AOsasuna45% / 25% / 30%
• MD20HElche69% / 18% / 13%
• MD21AAlavés47% / 24% / 28%
• MD22HValencia69% / 18% / 13%
• MD23HAtlético Madrid61% / 21% / 18%
• MD24AVillarreal36% / 24% / 40%
• MD25HLevante71% / 17% / 12%
• MD26AAthletic Bilbao49% / 24% / 28%
• MD27HReal Betis64% / 20% / 17%
• MD28HDeportivo72% / 17% / 11%
• MD29ARayo Vallecano44% / 26% / 31%
• MD30HSevilla FC71% / 17% / 12%
• MD31ARacing Santander50% / 24% / 26%
• MD32HEspanyol70% / 18% / 13%
• MD33ACelta Vigo42% / 25% / 34%
• MD34HOsasuna68% / 19% / 14%
• MD35AReal Madrid31% / 24% / 45%
• MD36AReal Sociedad45% / 23% / 32%
• MD37HMálaga72% / 17% / 11%
• MD38AGetafe44% / 27% / 29%

Win / draw / loss from Barça's view, from the Poisson match model. See the full table for how it's built.

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