Week 4 · NFL

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Green Bay Packers a 54% chance to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#4 NFC North

Green Bay Packers

71% to make the playoffs

@

#18 NFC South

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

52% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadGreen Bay Packers −1.5Vegas
Projected scoreGreen Bay Packers 23Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21

A coin flip. The model nudges Green Bay Packers by a field goal — 54% to win.

Chaos meter91 · TOSS-UP
91/ 100
CalmMayhem

Green Bay Packers

54%

to win

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

46%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Green Bay Packers
vs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
#4Offense · EPA/play#20
#22Defense · EPA/play#17
#5Success rate#24

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

18 meetings since 1999

Tampa Bay Buccaneers leads 10–8

Last met 2023 · Green Bay Packers 2034 Tampa Bay BuccaneersTampa Bay Buccaneers won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Green Bay Packers is hearing

What Tampa Bay Buccaneers is hearing

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