Week 4 · NFL

New York Jets vs Chicago Bears prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Chicago Bears a 74% chance to beat New York Jets in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#30 AFC East

New York Jets

4% to make the playoffs

@

#12 NFC North

Chicago Bears

47% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadChicago Bears −8.5Vegas
Projected scoreNew York Jets 18 — Chicago Bears 26

Chicago Bears is the pick by 8.5, but it's live — 74% on the model.

Chaos meter53 · LIVE
53/ 100
CalmMayhem

New York Jets

26%

to win

Chicago Bears

74%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
New York Jets
vs
Chicago Bears
#29Offense · EPA/play#8
#31Defense · EPA/play#19
#29Success rate#9

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

7 meetings since 1999

Chicago Bears leads 5–2

Last met 2022 · New York Jets 31–10 Chicago Bears— New York Jets won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What New York Jets is hearing

What Chicago Bears is hearing

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