Week 7 · NFL

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives New York Jets a 57% chance to beat Miami Dolphins in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#32 AFC East

Miami Dolphins

1% to make the playoffs

@

#30 AFC East

New York Jets

4% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadNew York Jets −2.5Vegas
Projected scoreMiami Dolphins 21 — New York Jets 23

A coin flip. The model nudges New York Jets by a field goal — 57% to win.

Chaos meter85 · TOSS-UP
85/ 100
CalmMayhem

Miami Dolphins

43%

to win

New York Jets

57%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Miami Dolphins
vs
New York Jets
#22Offense · EPA/play#29
#26Defense · EPA/play#31
#27Success rate#29

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

54 meetings since 1999

Miami Dolphins leads 28–26

Last met 2025 · New York Jets 10–34 Miami Dolphins— Miami Dolphins won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Miami Dolphins is hearing

What New York Jets is hearing

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