Week 9 · NFL

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Dallas Cowboys a 60% chance to beat Indianapolis Colts in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#10 NFC East

Dallas Cowboys

49% to make the playoffs

#24 AFC South

Indianapolis Colts

23% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadDallas Cowboys −3.5Model

Projected scoreDallas Cowboys 24 — Indianapolis Colts 20

A coin flip. The model nudges Dallas Cowboys by a field goal — 60% to win.

Chaos meter80 · TOSS-UP

80/ 100

CalmMayhem

Dallas Cowboys

60%

to win

Indianapolis Colts

40%

to win

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2025 efficiency · ranks

Dallas Cowboys

Indianapolis Colts

#5Offense · EPA/play#9

#32Defense · EPA/play#16

#6Success rate#8

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

7 meetings since 1999

Dallas Cowboys leads 4–3

Last met 2022 · Dallas Cowboys 54–19 Indianapolis Colts— Dallas Cowboys won

via Google News

What Dallas Cowboys is hearing

What Indianapolis Colts is hearing

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