Week 9 · NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Chicago Bears a 63% chance to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#18 NFC South

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

52% to make the playoffs

@

#12 NFC North

Chicago Bears

47% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadChicago Bears −4.5Model
Projected scoreTampa Bay Buccaneers 20Chicago Bears 24

Chicago Bears is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 63% on the model.

Chaos meter74 · LIVE
74/ 100
CalmMayhem

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

37%

to win

Chicago Bears

63%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
vs
Chicago Bears
#20Offense · EPA/play#8
#17Defense · EPA/play#19
#24Success rate#9

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

20 meetings since 1999

All square 10–10

Last met 2023 · Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2717 Chicago BearsTampa Bay Buccaneers won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Tampa Bay Buccaneers is hearing

What Chicago Bears is hearing

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