Week 10 · NFL

Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Indianapolis Colts a 74% chance to beat Miami Dolphins in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#32 AFC East

Miami Dolphins

1% to make the playoffs

@

#24 AFC South

Indianapolis Colts

23% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadIndianapolis Colts −8.5Model
Projected scoreMiami Dolphins 18 — Indianapolis Colts 26

Indianapolis Colts is the pick by 8.5, but it's live — 74% on the model.

Chaos meter53 · LIVE
53/ 100
CalmMayhem

Miami Dolphins

26%

to win

Indianapolis Colts

74%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Miami Dolphins
vs
Indianapolis Colts
#22Offense · EPA/play#9
#26Defense · EPA/play#16
#27Success rate#8

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

19 meetings since 1999

Indianapolis Colts leads 11–8

Last met 2025 · Indianapolis Colts 33–8 Miami Dolphins— Indianapolis Colts won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Miami Dolphins is hearing

What Indianapolis Colts is hearing

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