Week 11 · NFL

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Chicago Bears a 71% chance to beat New Orleans Saints in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#25 NFC South

New Orleans Saints

22% to make the playoffs

@

#12 NFC North

Chicago Bears

47% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadChicago Bears −7.5Model
Projected scoreNew Orleans Saints 18 — Chicago Bears 26

Chicago Bears is the pick by 7.5, but it's live — 71% on the model.

Chaos meter58 · LIVE
58/ 100
CalmMayhem

New Orleans Saints

29%

to win

Chicago Bears

71%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
New Orleans Saints
vs
Chicago Bears
#27Offense · EPA/play#8
#10Defense · EPA/play#19
#26Success rate#9

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

17 meetings since 1999

New Orleans Saints leads 11–6

Last met 2025 · Chicago Bears 26–14 New Orleans Saints— Chicago Bears won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What New Orleans Saints is hearing

What Chicago Bears is hearing

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