Week 12 · NFL

Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Denver Broncos a 54% chance to beat Pittsburgh Steelers in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#14 AFC West

Denver Broncos

63% to make the playoffs

@

#20 AFC North

Pittsburgh Steelers

32% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadDenver Broncos −1.5Vegas
Projected scoreDenver Broncos 23 — Pittsburgh Steelers 21

A coin flip. The model nudges Denver Broncos by a field goal — 54% to win.

Chaos meter91 · TOSS-UP
91/ 100
CalmMayhem

Denver Broncos

54%

to win

Pittsburgh Steelers

46%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Denver Broncos
vs
Pittsburgh Steelers
#10Offense · EPA/play#16
#6Defense · EPA/play#18
#16Success rate#17

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

13 meetings since 1999

Denver Broncos leads 7–6

Last met 2024 · Denver Broncos 6–13 Pittsburgh Steelers— Pittsburgh Steelers won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Denver Broncos is hearing

What Pittsburgh Steelers is hearing

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